Penn State vs Purdue 11/3/2012

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Penn State is a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat Purdue. Zach Zwinak is projected for 64 rushing yards and a 44% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35% of simulations where Purdue wins, Caleb TerBush averages 1.89 TD passes vs 0.95 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.04 TDs to 1.13 interceptions. Akeem Shavers averages 49 rushing yards and 0.5 rushing TDs when Purdue wins and 45 yards and 0.27 TDs in losses. Penn State has a 44% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 73% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PUR +3.5
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